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n It’s unclear how it will translate into seats given the rise within the variety of electorates which might be three-way contests, reasonably than coming right down to a struggle between Labor and the Coalition. Pollster Shaun Ratcliff advised Guardian Australia that the newest polls present the Coalition “going backwards” in a number of key seats he has been monitoring, after preliminary polls in February had the Coalition forward.
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You will discover extra granular breakdowns of the polls, together with by demography, on our monitoring web page.
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Somewhat further afield, Australians have already voted, Emily Wind reports:
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In the leadup to election day, Australians have cast their ballots in a number of remote locations and even from overseas – but none as far south as the 100-odd expeditioners currently working in Antarctica.
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Expeditioners working at Australia’s Antarctic and sub-Antarctic stations were able to cast their vote by telephone – a process typically reserved for voters who are blind or have low vision – with no physical ballot booth setup this year.
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Voting opened on 22 April, with expeditioners able to vote early or on election day. But, unlike others, they won’t be fined if they do not vote, according to the Australian Electoral Commission.
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The AEC says Australians travelling to work in Antarctica need to register as an Antarctic elector before leaving the country – with “Antarctic” including the Australian Antarctic Territory, the Territory of Heard Island and McDonald Islands, Macquarie Island, and a ship at sea in transit to or from Antarctica.
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Arrangements were put in place for expeditioners on the RSV Nuyina in case it arrived back later than scheduled (on 2 May, the day before the election).
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It is just past 8am here in Sydney, and the polling booths are officially open!
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Voters can lodge their ballots between 8am to 6pm today.
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For a refresher on when, where and how to vote, here is our 2025 voting guide with everything you need to know.
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queue to vote in Australia’s common election at a polling station within the suburb of Marrickville in Sydney on 3 Might, 2025.”,”caption”:”Folks queue to vote in Australia’s common election at a polling station within the suburb of Marrickville in Sydney on 3 Might, 2025. “,”credit score”:”{Photograph}: Saeed Khan/AFP/Getty Photographs”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”abstract”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1746223875000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”18.11 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1746225975000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”18.46 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1746224127000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”18.15 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”18.15″,”title”:”Polls open in jap states”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 2 Might 2025 19.39 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First printed on Fri 2 Might 2025 18.09 EDT”}],”filterKeyEvents”:false,”id”:”key-events-carousel-mobile”,”absoluteServerTimes”:false,”renderingTarget”:”Internet”}”>
Key occasions
Opposition chief Peter Dutton was on 9’s Weekend At this time earlier this morning. Requested if he’ll keep in politics and as opposition chief if he loses the election, Dutton stated he’s nonetheless younger with a “burning ardour”:
You possibly can’t go to the grand last speaking like that. You possibly can solely discuss profitable.
I’m 54. I’m nonetheless very younger, and I’ve simply received a burning ardour … for this nation. And I simply assume we stay in one of the best nation on the earth. No matter we are able to do to make it even higher is what we contribute ourselves to.
And I’ve labored actually laborious over the past three years. We’ve received a united crew, and I believe there are quite a lot of quiet Australians on the market who will not be telling their neighbours how they’re voting, however I believe they’re going to enter the polling sales space and say, you realize what, I’m not going to reward Anthony Albanese for the final three years. And I believe the opposite mob can handle the financial system extra successfully, can preserve us secure in a extremely unsure time. And might attempt to deliver the crime charges down in our native suburbs as effectively. I believe they’re all, you realize, the ideas which might be going via individuals’s minds in the mean time.
Martin Farrer
Underneath an ideal blue sky maybe extra harking back to dwelling than the customary gray of London, ex-pats in Britain have been queueing as much as vote at Australia Home.
The wait to solid a poll has been as much as half-hour with the road snaking out of the doorway and up and down the pavement.
From well dressed workplace staff (the lads making up absolutely the most important focus of RMs within the northern hemisphere) to holidaymakers guaranteeing they don’t get caught out for not being at dwelling, there was a big cross-section of Australians within the line
But when the variety of individuals holding Labor how-to-vote playing cards was something to go by on the day Guardian Australia did its democratic responsibility, it’s a surefire landslide for Anthony Albanese immediately.
Requested how a lot Donald Trump and worldwide politics has influenced the Australian election, Albanese stated: “this has overwhelmingly been about Australian points”.
The prime minister stated the opposition has made an try at working “American model politics right here of division”:
In the meantime, the opposition thought that they may simply run on grievance and attempt to divide Australians. We’ve seen them attempt to begin tradition wars, together with towards Indigenous individuals, focusing on them. Australians aren’t obsessed by these points. We’ve seen an try and run American model politics right here of division and pitting Australians towards one another, and I believe that that’s not the Australian method.
Albanese says he’s aiming for ‘again to again wins’
The prime minister Anthony Albanese was on ABC earlier this morning, saying “again to again wins” is “what we’re aiming for immediately”.
He made his last pitch to undecided or disillusioned voters:
Now we have a plan for value of dwelling aid immediately, by investing in tomorrow. Now we have a plan to make it possible for we proceed to construct extra pressing care clinics. 1.3 million Australians have benefited from that … 600,000 Australians have benefited from free Tafe … And for each single Australian taxpayer, all 14 million of them … will get a tax lower. We’ve created 1,000,000 jobs since we had been in workplace. Unemployment is the bottom it has been for any authorities in 50 years. However we all know that there’s extra to do, but when we get it proper, if we’re optimistic about Australia’s future, together with appearing on local weather change and the chance it represents, not simply the problem, then we could be extremely profitable as a nation, and that stands in distinction to our opponents who’ve been bumping into one another on the sphere, who haven’t been in a position to take a mark throughout this marketing campaign as a result of they don’t know what they’re doing.
Remaining polls present Labor in lead

Josh Nicholas
Labor is main the Coalition 51.4% to 48.6% in Guardian Australia’s ballot tracker, after a flurry of ultimate polls from DemosAu, Newspoll, YouGov and Roy Morgan. That is near a repeat of the final election, however, as you’ll be able to see within the chart beneath, even on election day there’s nonetheless uncertainty.
Labor’s estimated main vote is regular at 30%, and the Coalition 33% within the newest common. The polls have Labor’s main vote a little bit bit increased than this, however the mannequin thinks there is likely to be an overestimation of Labor as was seen in earlier elections.
The estimated main share for the Greens is about 13% in line with our mannequin, which might be a few one level enhance on the final election. Others and Independents, a bunch that features One Nation and the Teal independents, are on 23.5%, up about 4 factors.